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I did use RealClearPolitics a lot. It’s not because I favor them; rather it is because they are one of the only people actually polling now. Second, this is not a guarantee. So, Trump supporters, don’t start telling me that the I Just Want To Work In My Garden With My Chickens T-shirt polls screwed up in 2016. I know that, and I talked about the accuracy of polls earlier. And Biden supporters, don’t start congratulating me for being a smart person. I’m just looking at the data. Third, at the end of the day, we are all Americans. Every one of us, red or blue, is an American. You can disagree with their policies, you can dislike their character, but you should understand that the next President, whoever he is, has more in common with all of us than we know. Same goes for Trump now. I don’t like him. I’ll admit that. But I respect that he won. I respect the right of his supporters to support him. I may not like it, but they are entitled to their own opinions. That’s what open-minded means. And I’d hope that we ALL do that come 2021.

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One thing is certain though. Every eligible voter, Republican or Democrat, should vote in 2020. This ensures a completely fair election. So don’t be complacent. Get out and vote. I think it is still a little soon to know for sure. Normally, it would be a safe bet but Trump is anything but normal. I did an analysis a few weeks before the 2016 election, and predicted an Electoral College tie. I knew it wouldn’t happen that way, but it was enough to show me the professional pollsters were way off.

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Biden could win Michigan but most are very concerned about his ability to reach the finish line so I am hopeful the What The Fucculent Face Mask, Colorful Cactus Garden Washable Reusable Face Mask Democrats do not just anoint him like they did with HRC. If Biden would put Andrew Yang on the ticket, I think it would be super interesting too but I’m guessing he  will pick one of the moderates (Klobuchar or Harris) and I’m worried that will not excite “the base” or sway the “not always Republican Trump voter”. I have not heard much talk about Klobuchar but I think her debate performances get better and better. Hopefully I’m wrong on Biden if he is the nominee. It’s after all, a very small margin he would need to win by to get Michigan’s electoral votes from Trump. The baby boomer Michigan Democrats and “party people” who I speak to in Michigan have already decided on Biden. I sure hope that works and that he holds up if he’s the nominee.

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& an excited base is going to be key for the Democrats because we are also the only “swing state” with a Democrat Senator (Gary Peters) up for reelection and he is running against a charismatic African American man (from Detroit, went to West Point) who did quite well against Senator Stabenow last election so he has name recognition and the Michigan Republican party very much behind him. If the Michigan Democrats do not show up then not only does Trump likely win here, but Michigan could lose our Democratic Senator. What do other Michiganders or people who know Michigan think? Or do others have friends, family and work colleagues in Michigan and have you talked to them about this? Do you think Elizabeth Warren or Joe Biden can beat Trump in Michigan?

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So, don’t expect Trump to be nimble as was Obama in strengthening financial reform and budgetary solutions. Trump lacks economic talent in his cabinet, or maybe they don’t care. Trump and GOP are deficit spending for “the wall” and military, and giving tax breaks during the wrong time in economic cycle—the peak of economic cycle—which is opposite to modern economic theory. Recall, that This isn’t Dog Hair it’s Pug Glitter Face Mask Obama tried, often against hostile idiot GOP Congress (ignorant Tea Party worries about huge government debt to be inherited by our great-grandchildren), to use budgetary spending and tax breaks to stimulate economic growth and get people working during downturn, from 2008 to 2012. Then Obama held taxation flat as economy grew and employment improved, even as Janet Yellen kept interest rates near zero. Obama wisely reduced deficit spending during second term, and by time Trump was elected there was a budget surplus. Trump and GOP blew that surplus on billionaire tax breaks, and now there’s nothing left to borrow against during next downturn.

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Pressure Trump puts on USA, China, Canada, Mexico, and Iran by unpredictable politically motivated trade and tariff war, introduces extra volatility to the world economy that Wall Street doesn’t like. So, between casino style business approach and having no depth in his bench of economic advisors, you can bet Trump will stumble USA into a recession same as GW Bush did. Second, there are any of a number of international and domestic crises Trump will face during next two years. With every Hurricane season, Global Climate Change pitches another few bowling balls down toward standing pins of urban cities. Sure, most are gutter balls, but some hit Trump base targets over and over again, making Trump more coal less solar energy policy look pretty stupid.

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